NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f0c5633fa9e0dcaf99be96603d589217b9ace1120200bc8eb46873bdd8aae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Lakers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,200 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 46c | 40,082$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600.47 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Lakers | 47c | 22,668$10,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,654.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Rockets | 51c | 22,222$11,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,888.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 52c | 21,662$11,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,432.59 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 45c | 21,470$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,575.1 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Lakers | 46c | 20,980$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,738.44 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 49c | 14,583$7,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,145.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers | 47c | 12,216$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Rockets | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Rockets | 54c | 11,120$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.2 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 52c | 10,500$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Rockets | 55c | 10,270$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Lakers | 51c | 9,809$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lakers | 45c | 9,150$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Rockets | 55c | 6,957$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.12 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers | 44c | 5,248$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Lakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 54c | 4,467$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Lakers | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets | 52c | 4,047$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.71 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Lakers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 36c | 3,810$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Rockets | 55c | 3,654$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.38 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,572$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.08 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 60c | 3,313$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Rockets | 55c | 3,206$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.83 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Lakers | 1c | 3,040$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Lakers | 45c | 2,882$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…6da4backed Lakers | 49c | 2,717$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Rockets | 50c | 2,632$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.1 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Rockets | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Lakers | 48c | 2,396$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,335$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Rockets | 53c | 2,333$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.39 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,270$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.7 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,214$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.27 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Lakers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 48c | 2,116$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.57 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Rockets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Lakers | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 47c | 1,798$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Rockets | 54c | 1,652$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.11 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 49c | 1,519$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Lakers | 48c | 1,450$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Rockets | 54c | 1,336$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.68 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Rockets | 54c | 1,293$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Rockets | 69c | 1,275$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.53 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,211$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.48 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 50c | 1,182$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 51c | 1,152$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.51 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Lakers | 48c | 1,120$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Lakers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Lakers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Lakers | 47c | 1,035$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Rockets | 53c | 994.48$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.41 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Rockets | 54c | 992.78$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Rockets | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Lakers | 52c | 961.67$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.69 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Rockets | 56c | 919.77$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.61 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lakers | 49c | 904.92$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.41 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Lakers | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Rockets | 65c | 894.25$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 47c | 764$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Rockets | 52c | 701.13$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 54c | 686.17$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Lakers | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…8216backed Rockets | 77c | 674.59$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 46c | 647$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.87 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Rockets | 61c | 639.34$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed Rockets | 55c | 627.27$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 48c | 620$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 48c | 614.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Lakers | 46c | 541.64$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Lakers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Lakers | 48c | 512.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Lakers | 6c | 509.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Lakers | 47c | 500.03$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Rockets | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Rockets | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Lakers | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Rockets | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Lakers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Rockets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Lakers | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Rockets | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…86e0backed Lakers | 48c | 449.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Rockets | 57c | 448.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Lakers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Lakers | 48c | 427.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Rockets | 51c | 423.33$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.