NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2086f1fde623a5fec0db3f9e6d89917bb533d2759a8b307f5e3bde5cc0160660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Lakers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Rockets | 50c | 69,358$34,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,679.8 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Rockets | 49c | 38,436$18,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,614.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 50c | 28,160$14,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,080.17 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 50c | 17,028$8,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,539.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 51c | 16,914$8,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,626.11 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…a7a3backed Lakers | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 51c | 15,181$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Rockets | 50c | 8,197$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.47 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 63c | 7,952$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 50c | 7,101$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.49 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 49c | 7,041$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.97 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 49c | 7,033$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.41 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Lakers | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Lakers | 50c | 5,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Rockets | 53c | 5,502$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.9 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 43c | 5,479$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.61 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets | 42c | 5,468$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.6 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 32c | 5,303$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 41c | 4,573$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Rockets | 49c | 4,220$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.97 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…2f59backed Lakers | 50c | 4,150$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Rockets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 51c | 3,874$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.82 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Rockets | 37c | 3,324$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 48c | 3,113$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.41 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,656$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Lakers | 56c | 2,106$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.97 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Lakers | 51c | 2,060$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Rockets | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Rockets | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Lakers | 43c | 2,025$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Lakers | 45c | 1,999$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.71 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 50c | 1,968$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.85 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,938$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.91 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Lakers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…6482backed Rockets | 48c | 1,719$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Lakers | 48c | 1,501$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.85 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Lakers | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,383$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 38c | 1,265$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 51c | 1,263$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Rockets | 46c | 1,145$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.45 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 50c | 1,094$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 53c | 901.26$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.67 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 51c | 897.57$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.51 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Lakers | 49c | 851.84$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Rockets | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 33c | 749.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Lakers | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Lakers | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Lakers | 39c | 690.92$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Lakers | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Rockets | 47c | 615.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.42 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rockets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Lakers | 51c | 598$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 54c | 588$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed Lakers | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…5a35backed Lakers | 54c | 535.71$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 50c | 508.61$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Rockets | 53c | 500$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rockets | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lakers | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Rockets | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…4332backed Rockets | 47c | 480$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Rockets | 40c | 469.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Lakers | 38c | 402.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Lakers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…797abacked Lakers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers | 52c | 385$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Lakers | 64c | 375.88$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Lakers | 37c | 373.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Lakers | 51c | 337.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Lakers | 57c | 315.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Rockets | 53c | 293.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Lakers | 57c | 257.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Rockets | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Lakers | 50c | 222.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Lakers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Lakers | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Lakers | 52c | 207.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Lakers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Lakers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Lakers | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Lakers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Rockets | 50c | 191.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…3811backed Lakers | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Lakers | 29c | 153.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.