TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof ROSSMANN Centaurs, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa759…1119backed BIG75c6,076$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.9811367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed ROSSMANN Centaurs25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG77c5,040$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1352,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006631.8%21 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed ROSSMANN Centaurs17c1,800$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.247663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked BIG70c1,500$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.931,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BIG70c1,099$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.681,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BIG69c976.74$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.792,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BIG79c966.38$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.991,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs31c838.46$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5922742.7%97 W · 130 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed BIG77c782.19$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.191,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed ROSSMANN Centaurs25c750$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.566059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BIG78c707.39$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6198956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed ROSSMANN Centaurs27c700$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.51,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed ROSSMANN Centaurs33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23123053.9%124 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed BIG78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0324658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed ROSSMANN Centaurs27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs33c598.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ROSSMANN Centaurs29c550.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.681,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed ROSSMANN Centaurs25c444$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8917347.4%82 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed BIG62c389.11$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1180150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs22c378.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs31c369.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2123842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ROSSMANN Centaurs30c351.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.51,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed BIG75c350.41$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.670057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba8…cd40backed ROSSMANN Centaurs6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs6c333.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b2…1d9fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs25c318.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked BIG69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9389050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed BIG77c299.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6915161.6%93 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs21c295.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0844846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed BIG69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8677746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs23c260.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0227340.7%111 W · 162 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs43c250$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.316451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BIG80c247.44$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ROSSMANN Centaurs30c246.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.942,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs31c243.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs26c242.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9450550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs31c234.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1524446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed BIG68c205.88$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8817947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG71c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.41,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BIG70c187.95$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.981,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs15c187.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.936936.2%25 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BIG76c181.18$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.641,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed ROSSMANN Centaurs30c170.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1723146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed BIG79c164.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5648763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed BIG80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013171%93 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed BIG75c142.51$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6385652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG74c125.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2482044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed BIG70c113.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.688362.7%52 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed ROSSMANN Centaurs16c109$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1328329.7%84 W · 199 L-32.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs30c105.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6544745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ROSSMANN Centaurs16c103$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked BIG78c100.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5882161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1495048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015038.7%58 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed BIG75c84.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1934667.6%234 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs24c83.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.054242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs24c83.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.058551.8%44 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs24c81.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6866843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ROSSMANN Centaurs31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs26c75.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.491,05539.6%418 W · 637 L-74.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs26c73.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0741151.1%210 W · 201 L+19.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed BIG80c68.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a3…09b8backed BIG78c64.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.234161%25 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed BIG78c64.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2136151.8%187 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed BIG72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9578043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed BIG65c53.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked BIG65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.549756.3%280 W · 217 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3985849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed BIG72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked BIG77c47.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923562.1%146 W · 89 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed ROSSMANN Centaurs26c46.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89745.4%44 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eea…76afbacked BIG70c45.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.743336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed ROSSMANN Centaurs27c43.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.697451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,24752.8%659 W · 588 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe717…0710backed BIG78c37.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1928657%163 W · 123 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed BIG78c35.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9134658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2558043.3%251 W · 329 L-47.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed BIG61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.77648.7%37 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked BIG62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked BIG78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.635058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed BIG79c29.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1242055%231 W · 189 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ddb…a7a5backed BIG73c26.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2924555.1%135 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…866bbacked BIG78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5344154.2%239 W · 202 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BIG76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked BIG77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0721350.7%108 W · 105 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed BIG70c20.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0935639.3%140 W · 216 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed BIG74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.246562.4%290 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BIG74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.269644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3073…3413backed BIG78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2318960.3%114 W · 75 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…cf1abacked BIG77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3743860.5%265 W · 173 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe087…bc81backed BIG73c16.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x717b…4804backed BIG77c15.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.589262%57 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked BIG77c15.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.583253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3f…2debbacked BIG77c15.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf175…a903backed BIG71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed BIG69c14.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.525737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked BIG73c13.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6214042.1%59 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.