Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2afe04c34eb4b26e6cbb61d9820196c9d0b2246251e756821bf2a438d3c5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof ROSSMANN Centaurs, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BIG | 76c | 2,185$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.38 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked BIG | 69c | 2,087$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.97 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 1,570$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked BIG | 70c | 1,500$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.51 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 1,249$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 18c | 1,114$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BIG | 76c | 1,020$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed BIG | 69c | 976.74$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 841.69$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 656.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BIG | 79c | 630.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 8c | 597.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 577.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked BIG | 69c | 564.01$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.48 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BIG | 74c | 513.78$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed BIG | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked BIG | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 450$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed BIG | 69c | 403.1$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 392.55$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 364.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 6c | 333.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 271$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 35c | 258.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG | 66c | 211.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 172.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 171.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked BIG | 67c | 161.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 150.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 139.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BIG | 69c | 129.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 110.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed BIG | 68c | 102.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…1d9fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 100.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed BIG | 70c | 76.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 36c | 75.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 74.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 59.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 52.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed BIG | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 47.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 46.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed BIG | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BIG | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed BIG | 71c | 40.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BIG | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked BIG | 66c | 26.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed BIG | 68c | 26.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed BIG | 69c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed BIG | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)BIG won
- LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ABIG won
- LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.