Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3e06a5331797012f1a11b75146d48e45d6a0b29ea068579ba3a86ea9f9f288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Vici Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bb3…b327backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 2,676$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Resilience | 45c | 2,621$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.08 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 20c | 1,267$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,077$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.56 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Team Resilience | 30c | 1,073$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.7 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience | 21c | 917.72$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.23 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 882.09$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 857.83$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.14 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Resilience | 21c | 790.68$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Resilience | 25c | 790.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 710.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…f3c6backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 631.25$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 560.08$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 509.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…d654backed Team Resilience | 39c | 506.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 458.37$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 23c | 442.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.9 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 47c | 429.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 358.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 286.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 285.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Resilience | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 244.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Team Resilience | 21c | 207$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 183.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 179.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…0a76backed Vici Gaming | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 38c | 115.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Team Resilience | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…1047backed Team Resilience | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 97.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 79.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Resilience | 18c | 79.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 44c | 78.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 78.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Resilience | 28c | 76.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 68.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Team Resilience | 42c | 62.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 62.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Resilience | 31c | 52.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Team Resilience | 60c | 52.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Resilience | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Resilience | 48c | 49.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 49.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Team Resilience | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 46.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Team Resilience | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 30.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 28.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 28.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…1f86backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…3637backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.