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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Resilienceof Vici Gaming, Team Resilience
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc75a…1ab2backed Vici Gaming3c1,477$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0640014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming74c956.9$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.421,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience33c926.99$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.3954246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Resilience28c921.39$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.6843049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming69c750$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Resilience36c703.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.9314562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Vici Gaming69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48325147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming78c688.25$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.5186659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Resilience17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49846240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Vici Gaming69c578.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience30c572.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.431,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming57c533.6$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.696645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Vici Gaming20c521.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4461548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Vici Gaming64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32051364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Resilience26c484.07$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0353139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Vici Gaming73c394.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1214443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Resilience31c317.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8938855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Vici Gaming65c305.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21656243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience20c292.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.741,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Vici Gaming69c290$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.19964.6%64 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Resilience31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Team Resilience36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming70c240.91$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.691,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Vici Gaming8c222.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Resilience25c221.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3530534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience32c219.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2257735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Resilience32c211.37$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7936851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming55c206.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.662,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience33c203.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6787645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Team Resilience31c175.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0315957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Resilience31c172.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0912350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Team Resilience34c168$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Vici Gaming72c165.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming19c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Vici Gaming72c149.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8810262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Vici Gaming68c144.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9836654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…747fbacked Team Resilience36c137.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.19751.5%50 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Vici Gaming63c135.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1118952.9%100 W · 89 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming50c110.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.152,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming64c109.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience20c107.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3456343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Vici Gaming25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Resilience37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6334443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Vici Gaming68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Team Resilience29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7138649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Vici Gaming57c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.56647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Team Resilience24c96.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5915338.6%59 W · 94 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e12…1a88backed Vici Gaming19c84.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming29c81.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Vici Gaming79c80$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.259060%54 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Vici Gaming67c79.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9469033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7627…4404backed Team Resilience61c71.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814832.4%48 W · 100 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Resilience19c69.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked Team Resilience59c68.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Resilience60c66.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.950855.5%282 W · 226 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Vici Gaming66c63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8815536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Vici Gaming66c63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8816837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…914dbacked Team Resilience33c61.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming69c59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.711,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Vici Gaming39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e98…1047backed Team Resilience48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Vici Gaming70c47.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed Vici Gaming64c46.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.926264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Team Resilience56c42.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.864663%29 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Vici Gaming72c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience32c33.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9393546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Vici Gaming59c30.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Vici Gaming67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.135032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Vici Gaming69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Vici Gaming72c27.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Vici Gaming72c27.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9891553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde7d…62b2backed Team Resilience50c26.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a5…b0b1backed Vici Gaming56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming49c23.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Vici Gaming69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516939.6%67 W · 102 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9d9…15e0backed Vici Gaming55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111958.8%70 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e8…44f9backed Vici Gaming65c16.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Vici Gaming69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3512263.9%78 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.