Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a44c09dbc25485b8c7c463552884eba323a9f4bceccd8d9233c9c9b764c1e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Vici Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Resilience | 37c | 4,963$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.65 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 3,435$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.1 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…4a09backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 2,739$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,983$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.26 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Resilience | 32c | 1,232$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.91 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 3c | 1,129$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Resilience | 29c | 1,070$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.85 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 994$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Vici Gaming | 3c | 914.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 808.44$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Vici Gaming | 4c | 642.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 570$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 547.85$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 534.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience | 29c | 466$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 438.03$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 376.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience | 28c | 352.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.12 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience | 25c | 345.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 324$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Vici Gaming | 16c | 318.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 307.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 300.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Resilience | 27c | 239.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 29c | 237.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 196.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 179.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Team Resilience | 26c | 176.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 176.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 158.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 131.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Resilience | 67c | 117.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 116$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…1f47backed Team Resilience | 40c | 110.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 95.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 47c | 94.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Resilience | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 67.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Resilience | 32c | 56.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…1047backed Team Resilience | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 40.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 39.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 39.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 30.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 27.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…7358backed Team Resilience | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.