Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24414f02ee4bdd6b6048c4072ad36b1fe2f5f18302839d598615597eac078685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 6,216$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.34 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 5,431$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.73 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 30c | 3,324$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.96 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 2,623$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.68 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 1,560$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 995.68$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 50c | 647.86$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.08 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 631.8$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.85 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 509.13$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.58 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 38c | 460$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 27c | 417.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 46c | 394.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 166$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 14c | 160.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yes | 51c | 159.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 69c | 144.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 35c | 138.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 126.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 65c | 114.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 61c | 109.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed No | 39c | 103.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 49c | 101.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 61c | 93.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 89.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 57c | 87.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 36c | 61.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…7243backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 52.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 66c | 48.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 33c | 43.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 36c | 41.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…0124backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…3572backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 36c | 30.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 57c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.