Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29fd1fbb2ddf0cec0dd3f319e63257df5f76b1bbee23eed80f937b99b6b6562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 56c | 14,057$7,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.02 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 7,197$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.17 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 3,385$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.76 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 2,452$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,948$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 1,541$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 28c | 1,283$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,079$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.1 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 62c | 868.68$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.79 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 823.84$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.68 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 4c | 575$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 37c | 482$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 481.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 59c | 460.5$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 347.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 72c | 340$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 17c | 326$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 240$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 36c | 236.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 60c | 231.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 224.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 169.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 157$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8921backed Yes | 30c | 150.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 139.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 38c | 130.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 110.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 28c | 102.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 43c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 29c | 97.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 79c | 97.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 73c | 84.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 83.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 38c | 82.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 70.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 28c | 64.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 74c | 59.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 79c | 53.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 52.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 31c | 48.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 27c | 47.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 32c | 45.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 38.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 73c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…cab5backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 73c | 22.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed No | 72c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 73c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 73c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 74c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?Yes won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.