TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$417,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes51c279,998$141,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,8274261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No49c153,822$75,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,886.5912951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No51c21,814$11,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,726.74062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No53c17,000$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,989.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c15,976$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,106.153,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No49c12,066$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.416250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No66c11,133$7,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.4899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No51c11,075$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,481.4553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c10,873$5,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,513.8626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No49c10,289$5,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,211.463751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed No49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes27c9,145$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.1814657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No50c8,893$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.3212654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Yes49c6,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c5,848$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.5597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c5,219$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6149268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes26c5,046$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c4,980$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.251,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes48c4,637$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.1568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes47c3,907$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.292040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes50c3,000$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes47c2,766$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No50c2,455$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.0835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No49c2,426$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.8320043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22410358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes47c2,344$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c2,295$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c2,295$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c2,294$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.1191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c2,235$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.9798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes12c1,978$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8213518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c1,932$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.071,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes47c1,563$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.611540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes47c1,563$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes4c1,070$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2517137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes48c1,044$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c970.87$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.6310042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes47c960$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No51c943.76$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2619642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No52c888$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.46650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c830.78$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.211,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No65c818.8$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2815676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes48c781.25$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No49c705.86$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.597147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3293426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x65bd…c96fbacked Yes47c625$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No49c619$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6918456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6206…00eebacked Yes50c597.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No65c556$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No65c556$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.753161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed No56c505$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No49c483.36$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4712850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No50c482.4$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2812356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes47c469$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes47c453$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked No49c392.98$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes47c390.73$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed No52c388.46$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No52c380.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No65c353.85$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8525652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14717751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No53c288$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.227058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes51c235.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c229$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0737649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No49c222.39$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.569345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c219.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Yes47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Yes48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed No54c203.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.454344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No49c202$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c201.1$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No49c198.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.154231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c194.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.751,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed No52c189$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No56c183$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8213464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Yes52c182.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes47c175.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.637953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No50c166$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.524250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No49c163.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.583256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes15c156.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.534566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed No52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No49c143$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No51c143$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0715051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2189…4a36backed Yes43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes50c138.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No50c137.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes48c136$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.282751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No49c129.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.591968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa448…3046backed Yes47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No49c117.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9811848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No49c114.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.265743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.