TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eb9…dd8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+681.3%+$2,043.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,192.01
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$139.62
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$347.61
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$134.44
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$458.18
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$125.08
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$332.74
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$363.39
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$233.72
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$161.86
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$157.18
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$295.99
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$52.52
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$129.13
Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$77.28
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$296.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$65.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+43%+$64.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.