Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2709b65014b4685b61b705e7618ea26b8bdd4e92b95744a7d25d3bbe1897d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 7,437$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.8 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 6,674$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.01 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 5,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.97 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 4,020$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 2,139$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.06 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 56c | 2,070$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,807$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 46c | 1,103$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.43 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 48c | 1,016$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 780$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 660.11$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked Under | 71c | 567.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 6c | 502.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 412.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 327.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 35c | 308.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 54c | 241.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 127.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 119.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 80.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 69c | 71.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 46c | 68.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 66.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 46c | 62.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 36c | 58.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 55.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Over | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 41.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 47c | 30.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 19.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5this page
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Sandefjord Fotball O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.