Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2088dcf8ed9eee926fcd31606356f356e37c5da86652b7c6407d3c3b4b0e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 2,707$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 62c | 2,161$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.74 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,641$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.03 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 41c | 1,595$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.32 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 950.16$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 665$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.35 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 215.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 171.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 48c | 129.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked No | 60c | 98.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 48c | 86.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 48c | 62.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 48c | 53.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 45c | 45.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 42c | 36.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 44c | 26.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 70c | 25.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Sandefjord Fotball O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.