Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9388076e871a02a9510ff6d5fd5a0a33421d5b897d28b683fc65461546ed09aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 6,027$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.44 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 3,957$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Under | 69c | 2,044$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 1,672$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.69 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 68c | 1,140$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.15 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 20c | 530$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 401.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 34c | 341.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 33c | 208.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 185.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 173$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 79c | 116.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 25c | 116.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 74c | 113.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 68c | 112.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 32c | 107.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 106.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 106.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 25c | 104.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 93.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 68c | 91.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 68.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 73c | 63.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 25c | 60.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 79c | 22.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 69c | 17.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Under | 66c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Sandefjord Fotball O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.