Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3972f96d997086c0c81156be413dbd74b2ba580b2b1caeb50e182cad481b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 60c | 33,333$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 4,993$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 40c | 4,357$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.4 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 59c | 4,196$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.56 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,812$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 2,812$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 2,812$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.19 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 2,573$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 2,076$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.76 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 1c | 2,070$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,605$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,515$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.01 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 1,289$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.56 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 40c | 937$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.2 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 41c | 607$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 41c | 603.93$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.32 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 40c | 437$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 409.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 384.92$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 60c | 332.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 264.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 38c | 229.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 135.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 41c | 118.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 71c | 106.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 30c | 97.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 24c | 96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Yes | 41c | 95.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 41c | 89.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 85.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed No | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 41c | 82.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 65c | 82.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked No | 62c | 74.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 41c | 69.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 68c | 62.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 60c | 48.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Yes | 76c | 48.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 37c | 44.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yes | 41c | 38.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 33.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Yes | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 38c | 30.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 41c | 28.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 28.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 69c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 45c | 24.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…ec44backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.