Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40eb8ac9a274beeb34021474f9b49012c930e5be40462838b2db0b36b565b226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 3,614$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,624$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 886.33$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 729.29$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 534$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 532.96$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 190.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 100.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 28c | 56.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 48.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 29c | 48.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 29c | 48.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 35.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 70c | 33.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 69c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…c5b9backed No | 77c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.