Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250292d08eb4c42e171c4afa72dd5236fd86b44ebf701060f39949a9f4002daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 3,609$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.03 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 69c | 2,323$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,812$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.52 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 776$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 626.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 598.29$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 594.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 525.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 363.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 30c | 170.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 31c | 165.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 162.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 31c | 117.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 67c | 116.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 70c | 104.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 101.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda90…6ec6backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 70c | 69.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 66.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 22c | 66.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 33c | 50.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 33c | 50.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed No | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 73c | 46.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…ec66backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 70c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.