TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda90…6ec6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.08
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.55
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.44
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.