TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,911,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,557,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,911,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes8c358,286$30,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,104.5533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes9c182,253$16,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,409.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes8c100,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes7c80,132$5,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,536.476114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes10c66,666$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.5942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c60,463$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.4279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes1c45,863$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes5c44,546$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.7418047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c38,911$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes4c34,919$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.2226534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes1c34,294$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9413811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes9c31,822$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.581,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c19,743$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes1c17,636$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x345a…b413backed Yes10c16,540$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6542729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes4c14,240$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.7129333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes9c12,977$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.9370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes9c12,908$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.781,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes2c11,972$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes2c11,205$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes9c10,530$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.121,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes14c9,792$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.9117235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes8c9,550$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.0933549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes6c8,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes6c8,467$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.827636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Yes9c8,333$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes6c7,094$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3714546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes2c6,100$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes1c6,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9528526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa811…8717backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a1c…970abacked Yes5c5,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes9c4,986$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7677433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes6c4,980$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes9c4,585$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Yes10c3,862$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7243139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes8c3,100$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes12c2,502$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2810137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes9c2,442$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7840343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes9c2,422$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes5c2,100$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.93627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes5c2,051$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.021,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010034%34 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597b…a872backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Yes9c1,997$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.779036.7%33 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…9705backed Yes1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204910.2%5 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked Yes8c1,811$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.883528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Yes12c1,759$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.17630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Yes10c1,700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010228.4%29 W · 73 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes10c1,700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e2…1d4dbacked Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes9c1,640$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes9c1,540$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.67132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes9c1,501$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0828533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4176…a875backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503625%9 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d7…8019backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes1c1,471$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes9c1,454$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Yes9c1,390$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.16423.4%15 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes13c1,335$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1178927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010936.7%40 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes9c1,301$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.095834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Yes9c1,258$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.99522.1%21 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…82d1backed Yes2c1,222$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525127.1%68 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd16…0be8backed Yes21c1,179$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.653740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2120…2647backed Yes9c1,171$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.116428.1%18 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes1c1,140$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5366932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa01d…3727backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006141%25 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+62.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086c…50bbbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007644.7%34 W · 42 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6cf…a967backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005219.2%10 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcadd…d346backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069c…3d49backed Yes1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+40.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4102…731abacked Yes1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805930.5%18 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc67…8f05backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c1…68bfbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-83.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d22ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3f…c880backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80339.1%3 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x561c…a87dbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes16c999.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9928435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes9c999.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.998425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.