MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96774b432f1fac5ff2980a00b8b4aa21a1d2b131e48af38c08114b29d08984ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $919,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed New York Mets | 38c | 411,481$156,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,362.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 193,587$120,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,562.99 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 133,477$84,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,455.53 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 96,959$61,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,888.61 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 37c | 66,362$24,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,348.81 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 64,000$39,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,040 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed New York Mets | 37c | 40,733$15,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,071.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 32,657$23,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,298.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 15,687$11,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.42 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 9c | 15,355$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.83 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 11c | 13,878$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.85 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 38c | 13,158$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.09 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 37c | 12,768$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.65 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 12,544$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.55 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked New York Mets | 19c | 12,194$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 29c | 11,937$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 38c | 11,215$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.7 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 22c | 8,498$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…c3b2backed New York Mets | 7c | 7,031$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 22c | 6,831$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.43 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 6,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked New York Mets | 39c | 5,148$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 9c | 5,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 4,551$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 35c | 3,568$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.43 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,290$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.33 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,743$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.03 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a3…4538backed New York Mets | 7c | 2,697$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 14c | 2,576$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,454$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.46 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed New York Mets | 2c | 2,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 37c | 2,160$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,100$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets | 1c | 2,066$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 3c | 1,659$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Mets | 16c | 1,621$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Mets | 36c | 1,402$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.64 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed New York Mets | 30c | 1,290$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.96 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,252$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 22c | 1,252$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,227$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 28c | 1,218$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 38c | 1,149$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.62 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,109$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.42 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,035$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 37c | 992.34$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.44 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked New York Mets | 38c | 955.26$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 946.83$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 34c | 881.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed New York Mets | 39c | 858.97$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 804.24$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.48 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets | 36c | 800.3$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.64 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 790.51$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…7e06backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 787$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 728.55$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked New York Mets | 38c | 724$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…f0c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 637.86$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed New York Mets | 5c | 600.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed New York Mets | 10c | 577.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 560$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 550$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…d00dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 542.21$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 4c | 522.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 499.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 474$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 454.64$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked New York Mets | 24c | 438.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 37c | 437.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets | 4c | 421.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed New York Mets | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed New York Mets | 38c | 348.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 342.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed New York Mets | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.