MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b0a13c20a94dc28e10736419d1f51c4374b8bd1ac2d61bc9c56c426b96fd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed New York Mets | 56c | 218,842$122,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,141.11 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 111,111$48,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,222.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 67,713$37,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,741.88 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 55c | 65,000$35,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,951.4 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 55,764$24,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,831.59 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 22,535$10,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,471.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 22,150$12,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,182.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 21,389$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 20,299$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296.2 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 20,049$9,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,002.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 17,322$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,402.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Mets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 9,582$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.92 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 9,364$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.21 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…c3b2backed New York Mets | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 49c | 6,931$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.29 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 54c | 5,778$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.34 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 3,836$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 3,774$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,728$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.17 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,142$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.14 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,985$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.49 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,930$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,813$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.91 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,670$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.5 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,450$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,083$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.67 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,026$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.87 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Mets | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 943.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 817.78$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 722.41$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.33 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 618$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 605.29$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.18 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 497.29$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 451.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed New York Mets | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 443.52$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Mets | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…7b03backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 396$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 48c | 332.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 52c | 312.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…d898backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked New York Mets | 55c | 280.01$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets | 56c | 266.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Mets | 50c | 251$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 223.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 211$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Mets | 16c | 204.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 195.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 189.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 179.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed New York Mets | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed New York Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 178.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a3f6backed New York Mets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 152.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed New York Mets | 55c | 123.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed New York Mets | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 12c | 118.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 115$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.