MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487c0f8c01ebe72d23dbf69f3ef72908166cdcc6226da79b31280d937d85e159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 86,115$34,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,031.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 46,457$16,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,196.74 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 27,510$17,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,881.44 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 22,930$13,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,965.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 17,352$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,164.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 16,240$10,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 13,370$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 11,965$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 11,916$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,516.15 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 9,865$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…7a14backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 7,988$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,192.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 7,047$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 6,142$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.9 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 3,303$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 3,262$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.64 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,656$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,105$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.4 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,087$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,932$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.84 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 1,897$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.42 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 1,635$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.43 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,610$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.15 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,533$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.1 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 1,482$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,457$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.81 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 1,447$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 1,416$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.05 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,412$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.34 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,377$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.25 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,173$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 931.96$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.81 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 904.54$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.36 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 900.52$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 803.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Washington Nationals | 78c | 792$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 765.46$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 762.72$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 674.46$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.4 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 634.48$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 623.08$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 583$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 576.77$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 568.54$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 540.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 520.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 469.48$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 424.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 420$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 418.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 383.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 381.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 380.87$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 378.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 368.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 364.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 356.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 332.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 307.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 299.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 263.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 259.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 252$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 233.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 232.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 219.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 218.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 208$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 207.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 200.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 200.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 199.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…66dcbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 195.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 180$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 178.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 170.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 164.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.