MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54f2dc88adda1f328beaa9cf54913c1240f0188b3ceca8779f83fb0d5e145dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $800,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $805,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $800,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 431,728$200,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,662.33 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 169,580$94,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,920.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 160,000$88,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 62,459$33,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,755.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 45,700$28,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,001.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 14,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,471.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 14,091$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 13,921$10,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.97 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 12,690$6,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.37 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 10,539$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 10,481$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.59 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 7,960$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.8 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 7,900$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 7,274$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 6,376$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 6,146$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 5,881$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.08 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 4,990$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 4,793$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 4,109$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.72 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 3,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 3,645$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 2,712$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.86 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,696$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 2,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,416$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 2,352$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 2,288$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Kansas City Royals | 4c | 1,860$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,155$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,085$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.25 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 1,065$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,053$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 999.64$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 917.35$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.81 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 830.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 769.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 736.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 701.67$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.32 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Kansas City Royals | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Kansas City Royals | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 578.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kansas City Royals | 11c | 565.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 550.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 524.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 506.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 506.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 506.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 436.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 431.82$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 423.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 410.51$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 408.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 401.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 396.2$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 389.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 381$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 362.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 359.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Kansas City Royals | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 338$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 331.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 311.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 286.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…4bf5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 265.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 253.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 252.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 246.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 233$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 227$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 217.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 200.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 194$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 188.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 183.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 180.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 175.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 171.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 164.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 155.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 141.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 140.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 139$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.