MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd2cf13e94863cdfcbbe1aeff3c02408cbc83e11be8e6b48b9f1dcef1a7ea5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 47c | 38,362$18,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,030.22 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 26,804$14,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,597.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 9,084$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 3,468$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.17 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,903$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 2,498$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Over | 54c | 2,211$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.89 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,022$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 1,925$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 1,574$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 45c | 1,092$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.31 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 888$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 840$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed Over | 54c | 831.48$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 587.75$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 567$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 53c | 400.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 321.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 143.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 53c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 122.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 116.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 54c | 94.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 54c | 89.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 54c | 88.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 76.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 53c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 54c | 75.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 62.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 54c | 59.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 59c | 57.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 54c | 46.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 33c | 45.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 54c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 54c | 21.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 54c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 54c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 72c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 72c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City RoyalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.