TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,129 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64c4…1018backed No33c824.97$269 inLost-$268.884746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d6…0a8abacked Yes67c434.25$291 inWon+$143.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon+$94.126338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No33c219.64$72 inLost-$72.091,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Yes65c199.99$130 inWon+$7012724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon+$49.2517158.5%100 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda90…6ec6backed No35c100$35 inLost-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No33c74.6$25 inLost-$24.6220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No35c65.71$23 inLost-$239858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63c4…4e73backed Yes68c58.82$40 inWon+$18.827941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No32c51.99$17 inLost-$16.643,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…0c4bbacked Yes68c44.19$30 inWon+$14.196660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No32c36.24$12 inLost-$11.615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes67c36.19$24 inWon+$11.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No35c34.28$12 inLost-$1232765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe64d…c12ebacked Yes68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.413663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed Yes55c23$13 inWon+$10.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed No45c23$10 inLost-$10.356046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b8…0136backed Yes67c22.39$15 inWon+$7.393066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes68c20$14 inWon+$6.48259.8%49 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed32…0c64backed Yes67c16.4$11 inWon+$5.412231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40cd…a8e1backed Yes67c15.64$10 inWon+$5.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes67c14.94$10 inWon+$4.934557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.