TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes13c15,385$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,384.6232429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes12c4,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.678640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes10c4,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes16c2,500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10010736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes11c2,345$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.7817636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes12c2,083$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.336913%9 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes14c2,000$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.743920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes12c1,784$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.4816341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c1,204$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…7de2backed Yes12c1,014$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.92015%3 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes76c1,011$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7516042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3314244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3312744.1%56 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.337315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.339940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked Yes13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.232524%6 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7adc…1457backed Yes13c724.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.71020%2 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+148.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No52c683.3$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.542,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes14c602.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.431,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes32c591.26$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.5614856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes12c526.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.286219.4%12 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44017335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes67c500$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1646855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes7c499.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9936631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes7c499.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9931728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.673013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked No3c364.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9310014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No66c357.29$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.272,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Yes12c333.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.333633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+170.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes12c333$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6946…ee08backed Yes15c329.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.18933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+108%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.515837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes13c311.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.774533.3%15 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes13c307$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.097041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes8c305.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.895810.3%6 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yes12c257.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.538725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ba…8d27backed Yes10c250$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252025%5 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4264…4811backed Yes14c247.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.162825%7 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b7…0632backed Yes13c234.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+682.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c217.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.471,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes11c215.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0111828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes13c211.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.547541.3%31 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaed1…21c7backed Yes12c208.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.332330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da9…e952backed Yes12c208.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.332650%13 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes12c208.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3332312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19017945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes14c199.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.994355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c192.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3122337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e85…418dbacked Yes12c185$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.82552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed No18c176.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.743917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes7c167$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.318713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.674513.3%6 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6715645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55c1…6485backed Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6716947.3%80 W · 89 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3567…cbedbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.672339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.677514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6731543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Yes12c162.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.785324.5%13 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes12c162.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.633622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes12c160.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.262524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220b…2b08backed Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.251020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes13c155.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4852217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…e840backed Yes13c147.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.44944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11020427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd039…d5f0backed Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…8f24backed Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked No15c121.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.282330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes12c119.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5923950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Yes12c117.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4dc…0e2ebacked Yes13c116.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97b3…a959backed Yes13c115.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.383636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6985…ad13backed Yes12c113.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.662532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Yes12c110$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.89442.6%40 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ff…4353backed Yes12c108.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8722825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9777…7febbacked Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes11c99.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.994740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes11c95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.552,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8150…f3acbacked Yes12c90$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.26144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes15c65.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6240435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.