MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f971206382bed7d02b09350c43aedd9aec56d8debeb7f0784f4d6fc98f48f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 151,417$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,000.28 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 85,115$42,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,576.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 31,576$13,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,998.54 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 28,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,120 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 16,152$8,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,851.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 14,552$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.91 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.22 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 10,805$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 10,568$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.7 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 10,451$5,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 9,858$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.48 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 9,512$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 7,922$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.9 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 7,019$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 6,986$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 6,917$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.82 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 6,754$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.63 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 6,473$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.94 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 5,277$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.86 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 5,264$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.97 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 4,768$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.43 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 4,768$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,555$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.02 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 4,400$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.86 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 3,275$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.45 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 3,129$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…1f88backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 3,032$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,999$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.74 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 2,632$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,569$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.82 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,875$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 1,690$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,562$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,364$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.17 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 1,264$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,193$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,157$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.41 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,135$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,107$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.74 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,087$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,042$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.06 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 981.82$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 924.81$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 909.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.1 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 896.97$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 860.93$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.02 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 858.87$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.38 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 760.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 744.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 711$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.05 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 703$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.54 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…7b03backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 626.18$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 616.07$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 608$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 580$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 569.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 563.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 551.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 545.93$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 540.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 508.45$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.73 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 490.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 479.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 467.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 435$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 431$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 428.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 426.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 415$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.15 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 410$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 394.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 387.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 387.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 362.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 360$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 345.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.38 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 345$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.