MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe517720150282acdfeeb401e7a8d5c14132bd5559cf5e68be38191817010d0f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof San Diego Padres, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $587,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 402,806$161,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,762.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 318,991$191,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,947.32 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 30,708$19,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,532.45 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 23,218$13,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343.42 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 13,217$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.77 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 12,749$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.18 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 11,111$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.4 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 7,443$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.65 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 6,668$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.03 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 6,591$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.52 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 6,023$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.57 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 5,346$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.81 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 4,948$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.03 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 4,076$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.67 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 3,629$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.2 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 3,015$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 2,608$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 2,519$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.05 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 2,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,197$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.71 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 2,172$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.32 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 2,135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 2,079$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.06 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 2,067$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.15 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 1,690$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.22 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 1,485$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 1,469$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.27 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,463$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 1,287$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.67 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 1,206$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,170$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.74 | 222 | 41%91 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,070$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 1,021$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c32…967dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43aa…a091backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 987.68$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 943.38$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 813.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 750.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 678.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 665.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 643.28$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 628.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 619.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 614.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 574.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 508.07$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 508.07$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 508.07$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 503.68$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 456.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 424.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 419$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 416.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 413.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 407.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 406.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 394$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 385.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 378.63$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 365.49$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 360$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 350.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…10fabacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 323.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 314.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 307$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 299.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 295$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 290.52$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 278.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 263.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 263$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 240.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…a570backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 233.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…eaeabacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 209.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 73c | 205.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 203.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 201.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.