Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33459a674c8da7b9a37a8ba0a4c2ae171ab46b9372d1f335266e971e3dad6ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,953$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,889$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.19 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,734$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 71c | 1,018$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.11 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 76c | 395.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…5e1abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 70c | 265.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 231.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 224.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 190.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 132.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 116.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 31c | 107.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 97.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 29c | 85.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 78c | 79.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 74.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 29c | 73.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 71.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 77c | 53.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 32c | 53.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 30c | 45.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 32c | 39.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 34c | 36.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 33.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will Odense BK vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?No won
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.