Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2fb9820a70a279f06a5d17a9d66c846172ac527700d48bf28fdb22b20a3964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6319…d371backed Over | 46c | 18,181$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,809.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 11,000$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.94 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 37c | 9,971$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.42 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 55c | 4,075$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 3,575$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 3,210$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.46 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 63c | 3,178$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.65 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 65c | 3,100$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.04 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 54c | 2,425$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 54c | 2,394$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.38 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 55c | 977.04$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 54c | 974.04$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 44c | 755$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 55c | 679.2$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.56 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 638.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 61c | 635$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 469.86$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 65c | 409.49$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 405.21$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 282.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 44c | 269.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 255$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Over | 45c | 229.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 226.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 55c | 215.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 202.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Over | 45c | 179.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Under | 56c | 126.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 105.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 105.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 105.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 55c | 101.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 100.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 95.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 90.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 86.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 45c | 85.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 82.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 71.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 51c | 62.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…4eb7backed Over | 62c | 61.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 45c | 58.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 54c | 53.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 52c | 53.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 52.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 49.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 37.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 54c | 36.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Under | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 50c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 55c | 25.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 56c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 61c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…3f8dbacked Under | 63c | 17.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 72c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 80c | 15.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 74c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.