Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e44748c5ef1979ebd641b454ceaf8c89c4e2baa59a7abd48b0d505208d4c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarpsborg 08 FFof Molde FK, Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Molde FK | 34c | 6,192$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.42 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 66c | 3,568$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 2,807$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.58 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Molde FK | 37c | 2,027$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Molde FK | 37c | 1,085$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 753$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.61 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Molde FK | 37c | 675$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 620.26$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 405.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Molde FK | 37c | 357$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Molde FK | 44c | 344.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…ae68backed Molde FK | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 75c | 188.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Molde FK | 25c | 183.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 67c | 180.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 67c | 158.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 67c | 158.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 68c | 145.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 68c | 136.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 68c | 91.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 63c | 80.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 64c | 60.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Molde FK | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 69c | 39.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Molde FK | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 67c | 35.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Molde FK | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 66c | 30.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 64c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 69c | 28.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 64c | 26.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Sarpsborg 08 FF | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 64c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 68c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Sarpsborg 08 FF | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)this page
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.