Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5dc7aea768373977123c8ff68fa311cad338198c14a92dc3ea9246ef544eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 4,384$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 4,055$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.9 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 78c | 3,889$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.88 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 1,252$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.3 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 2c | 539.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 512.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 14c | 305.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 240.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 70c | 212.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 179.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 173.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 48c | 105.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Over | 64c | 89.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Over | 58c | 87.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 50c | 84.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 68.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 62c | 65.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 24c | 60.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Over | 34c | 44.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 43.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…6117backed Over | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 68c | 37.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 37.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 69c | 37.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 69c | 37.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 74c | 34.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 78c | 29.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 78c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.