Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4dfad61a5af6bc3bcefb0a89a9bffcd67746aebe980e9726d1532c97822118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,142$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.12 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 633.92$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 62c | 606.69$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 465.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 317$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 64c | 193.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -9.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed No | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 81.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 80.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 60c | 73.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 69.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 34.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 58c | 30.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 64c | 26.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 39c | 26.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.