Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fea0fdd57b41870659fc582865f3325e2907cc44b1c9567d60cc52417fc8046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 64c | 8,000$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.91 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 6,388$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.09 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 3,076$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,711$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 38c | 1,722$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.06 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 34c | 1,112$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.39 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 34c | 1,112$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 13c | 876.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.64 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 738.25$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.41 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 25c | 634.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.18 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 75c | 634.91$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 75c | 611.56$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.67 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 32c | 533$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 510$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 364.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 39c | 322.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Under | 74c | 320.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 32c | 297.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 59c | 242$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 36c | 233.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b3c4backed Under | 75c | 202.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 44c | 163$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 130.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 130.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 119.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 36c | 109.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 36c | 109.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 36c | 109.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 99.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 15c | 98.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 36c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 26c | 71.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 69.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 74c | 69.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 35c | 46.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 31c | 41.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Under | 58c | 32.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 37c | 31.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Under | 67c | 29.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 74c | 24.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 49c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 71c | 21.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 66c | 19.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 14.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.