Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e730f7f03c69accbdf1a01a6f9b55b0bf3782e6149bea49f9f539511d2033c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes | 35c | 39,790$13,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,986.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 12,850$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240.95 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 38c | 7,625$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.26 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 67c | 6,818$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.15 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 6,799$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.68 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 65c | 5,882$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 4,171$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.13 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 9c | 3,495$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 65c | 3,429$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.57 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 3,062$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.73 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 65c | 2,900$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 9c | 2,749$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,746$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.62 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 63c | 2,729$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.49 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 2,466$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.43 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 10c | 2,068$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 59c | 1,780$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 1,748$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 1,576$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.64 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 4c | 1,528$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,525$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.59 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 9c | 1,389$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 1,247$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.23 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 70c | 1,200$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 67c | 1,189$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.23 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 34c | 1,088$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.28 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 63c | 971.61$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.67 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 27c | 918.52$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.52 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 30c | 916.94$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.72 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 792.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.48 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 18c | 784.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 769$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 769$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 66c | 768$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.44 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 757$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.32 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 34c | 750$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 68c | 675$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 67c | 647.42$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.31 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked No | 64c | 639$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 37c | 621.76$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 591.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Yes | 41c | 561.43$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 62c | 551$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 79c | 507.87$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 33c | 492.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.53 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 426.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 49c | 404.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 387.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 384.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…ed1cbacked Yes | 42c | 368.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 34c | 365.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 40c | 332.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 6c | 327$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 69c | 277.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 20c | 273.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 33c | 255$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 67c | 250.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 36c | 236$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 68c | 229.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 29c | 217.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 197$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 38c | 192.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 65c | 180.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 166$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 44c | 155.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 29c | 153.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 48c | 147.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 44c | 146.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 144.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 40c | 138.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 57c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 66c | 128.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 34c | 111.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 107.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 65c | 102.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked No | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…ae90backed No | 59c | 100.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…1acbbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 69c | 94.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 66c | 91.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 85.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…d17dbacked Yes | 32c | 81.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 39c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 38c | 79.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.