TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No71c10,153$7,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.1953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Yes29c7,430$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-75.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes55c7,373$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.2898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No38c6,919$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.1299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No44c2,500$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.3111633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes1c2,326$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes46c2,055$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c1,824$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.733,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes56c1,422$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.9435247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Yes24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c1,123$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c1,011$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.551,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes24c801.89$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.857327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c693.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c693.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No43c567.39$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No70c477.74$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.591,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c474.43$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No79c470.62$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.836460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes43c400$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4136646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c83…28d9backed Yes57c353.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c291.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.731,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No75c287$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes28c255$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes36c245.13$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…0171backed Yes60c242.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes6c234.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No35c231.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.442462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes49c213$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes62c192.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5519847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd765…f8ddbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes10c161.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1316159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed Yes7c151$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No35c149.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.883265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes21c145$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4517244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes27c137.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37130%0 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes24c105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes67c104.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes10c103$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4128721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x126d…32a5backed Yes55c99.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c94.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes28c86.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-74.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c82.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No79c82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No74c79.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3612247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c77.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes27c76.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6811848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes17c62.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5710045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.214349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes25c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4a…021fbacked Yes71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked No49c46.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+135.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes29c44.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.794231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes28c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3218456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes48c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes58c41.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.769070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1120449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b4…f911backed Yes27c38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes38c36.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb344…31eabacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed No55c30.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No47c29.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c27.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No72c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5620252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No42c26.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.392157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked No39c25.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2514549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked No44c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed No44c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334045%18 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed No73c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4336…492abacked No79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.