Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a8a51ea6d7eba6d0350a062f1a6451d38fccc137bc1e8f7eb77cffd5ba8e4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No | 63c | 144,521$90,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,651.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 37c | 49,135$18,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,216.56 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 38,747$14,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,323.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 22,020$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,788.65 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 13,535$8,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.74 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 64c | 9,200$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 8,942$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.58 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 6,521$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.96 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 37c | 6,475$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.27 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 5,148$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.83 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 4,051$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.69 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 3,836$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.17 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 39c | 3,405$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.61 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 3,377$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.54 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 38c | 3,182$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.77 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 2,868$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.78 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Yes | 1c | 2,838$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked No | 70c | 2,507$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 35c | 1,957$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.47 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 1,709$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.03 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 36c | 1,447$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,438$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.23 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 61c | 1,395$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,283$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.71 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 1,208$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.96 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 37c | 993.46$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.58 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 886.43$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.05 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 59c | 851.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 77c | 846.98$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 37c | 836.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.52 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 19c | 771.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 63c | 765.31$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.17 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 39c | 750.24$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 70c | 691.52$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 36c | 618.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 21c | 606.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 39c | 512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 461$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Yes | 31c | 456$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 37c | 444.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 442.33$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 37c | 432.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 428.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 37c | 378.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 372.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 32c | 371.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 37c | 357.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 22c | 350$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 37c | 316.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 300.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 38c | 280$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 61c | 275.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Yes | 37c | 259.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 37c | 255$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 37c | 222.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 78c | 222.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 42c | 221.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 26c | 215$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 70c | 208.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Yes | 18c | 199.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 37c | 193.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 37c | 185$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 78c | 182.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 37c | 170.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 37c | 168.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 28c | 167$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 165.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…f8ddbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 40c | 148.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked Yes | 20c | 142.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.