TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed No42c39,688$16,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,887.395740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c13,395$8,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,052.931,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes2c6,520$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.262748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes10c4,208$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.75850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes29c3,514$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.764143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No71c1,902$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.7822949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes57c1,763$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.467866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c1,708$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes59c1,696$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes58c1,693$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+33.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes59c1,579$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No72c1,467$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.6225653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes34c1,454$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No71c1,390$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9530548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes60c1,260$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.8324247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes58c1,175$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes60c1,171$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.493535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Yes59c1,136$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes56c1,132$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes58c1,111$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes59c1,084$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+79.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c1,021$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9939649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes61c1,004$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.7212152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes53c948.62$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9518542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Yes58c944.25$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No69c934.1$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7213654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes25c813$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.251435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4729549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No68c745.83$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6214646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c638.74$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.252,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes62c563.01$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.424841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No73c508.83$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.211,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes21c469$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.492,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes51c379.98$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8114949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes22c358.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0376239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes43c342.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2511861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf92c…fb6dbacked Yes22c292$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.24616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+327.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes48c288.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5113246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes35c286.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002763%17 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No62c225.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.865046%23 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1748867.8%331 W · 157 L+68.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes54c197.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0426348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes63c191$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1815872.2%114 W · 44 L+34.3wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+64%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes27c182.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes32c181$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.134158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes34c181$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes33c179$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.352450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes35c172.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.343063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes69c162.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes32c146.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No73c128.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1172342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes20c120.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.621,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes51c116$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.769254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes38c111.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.286460.9%39 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+95.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes61c110$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0720769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes22c105.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.059944.4%44 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c104$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7939855.8%222 W · 176 L+31.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c103.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.825,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c101.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.442,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c101$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…d4a1backed Yes26c94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes28c92.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.682458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No65c91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.144330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes18c88.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c79.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8572944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db6…fa76backed Yes23c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c72.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…91f4backed Yes29c68.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes46c67.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.074843.8%21 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes26c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1182053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No66c62.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.187467.6%50 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes44c62.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.674055%22 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes59c58.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.327570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes34c55.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9907backed Yes52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No49c53.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6359342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc402…51b3backed Yes37c51.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked No74c51.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Yes32c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes50c37.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.634659.8%207 W · 139 L+49.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x798d…01e3backed Yes38c34.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes55c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5620165.7%132 W · 69 L+28.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed No70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No68c32.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.389252.2%48 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes46c31.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4936…38a6backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No57c28.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2310456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c26.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes60c26.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8524548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed No70c25.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No59c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9637759.4%224 W · 153 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed No62c23.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No78c20.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.498958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.229350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No78c19.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.398440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.