TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ba4…26b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Boxing at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7052.9%37 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$99.85
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$44.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.63
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.25
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$48.96
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.35
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$29.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$28.43
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$51.41
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$53.86
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$40.42
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.48
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.67
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$48
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$229.08
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.04
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.24
Will Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51%+$22.43
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$31.87
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.95
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.42
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.82
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.65
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.61
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.97
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+192.3%+$20.82
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Yelyzaveta Kotliarbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+354.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.