Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69528ba2c9431874638391b164fd1a2fe774c41c3a7c35da1e7167c5b414e52d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 8,470$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.71 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 3,552$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.75 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 63c | 3,199$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 1c | 2,993$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 2,611$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.36 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 2,314$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.1 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 72c | 1,777$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.42 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…6b71backed Yes | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 2c | 872.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 861.16$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.74 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 854.65$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.61 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 657.28$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.64 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 642.22$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 27c | 629.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.63 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 12c | 618.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 3c | 617$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 2c | 614.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 583.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 80c | 535.58$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 27c | 501.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 4c | 497.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 26c | 492.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 374$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.79 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 371.88$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 29c | 339.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 65c | 311.05$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 235.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 72c | 230.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 199.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 33c | 193.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 32c | 176.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 33c | 157.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 145.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 17c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 33c | 117$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…9c09backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 285 | 40%114 W · 171 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 106.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 52c | 101.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 74c | 95.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 28c | 95.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 80.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 79.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 26c | 77.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 41c | 76.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 19c | 71.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 65c | 64.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 58c | 52.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 51.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 41c | 50.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 26c | 48.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 44c | 47.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 54c | 45.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 29c | 42.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10d…575cbacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 33.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked No | 75c | 26.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 71c | 23.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…1aabbacked Yes | 52c | 22.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 73c | 13.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04?No won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.