TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6695…1aab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Polina Kuharenko vs Cherry Kimbacked Polina Kuharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.1
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$15.3
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.25
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.47
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$15.86
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.54
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.73
ITF Poprad: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Massimo Pizzigonibacked Massimo Pizzigoni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$34.32
Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debrubacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Andres Martin vs Moez Echarguibacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.83
ITF Gentofte: Linea Bajraliu vs Lucia Cortez Llorcabacked Lucia Cortez Llorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$49.44
ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Thanaphat Boosarawongsebacked Sam Ryan Ziegann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.34
ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Maiko Uchijimabacked Natsuho Arakawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Rome: Nuria Brancaccio vs Julia Rierabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burelbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$12.42
Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Gina Feistelbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.76
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.9
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.32
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$11.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.