TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Pozoblanco: Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilya Ivashkaof Dan Added, Ilya Ivashka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Dan Added20c49,398$9,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,659.8917837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ilya Ivashka76c37,524$28,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,144.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…9cf8backed Dan Added31c15,736$4,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.545940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ilya Ivashka78c12,989$10,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.5511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ilya Ivashka70c3,385$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.538,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ilya Ivashka74c2,397$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.544,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Dan Added31c2,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilya Ivashka65c2,091$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.338,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dan Added55c1,664$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Ilya Ivashka72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8929443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Dan Added22c900$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dan Added8c855$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.224,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Dan Added34c785.19$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27027446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Dan Added19c590.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.551,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dan Added36c536.75$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.359,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Dan Added25c400.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Dan Added25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Ilya Ivashka67c377.38$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7826535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ilya Ivashka46c371.07$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.383,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Ilya Ivashka70c324.29$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.292785.2%23 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Dan Added24c312.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.079627.1%26 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Dan Added33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9926546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Dan Added54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dan Added24c254.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.091,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Dan Added54c236.28$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.94860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74c…f4f1backed Dan Added44c229.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015844.9%71 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Dan Added27c214.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Ilya Ivashka69c209.23$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8610159.4%60 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Ilya Ivashka74c202.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6111765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Dan Added19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Ilya Ivashka52c194.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2325948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Dan Added26c191.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.672,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Dan Added29c175$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7563648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Dan Added26c165.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Ilya Ivashka65c154.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0816467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Dan Added55c146$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Dan Added35c129.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.471,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Ilya Ivashka69c129.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.352,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Ilya Ivashka79c118.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9216870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ilya Ivashka53c108.8$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.625,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Dan Added15c104.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6633228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dan Added48c100.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.514,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Dan Added42c99.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.931855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dan Added33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Ilya Ivashka58c89.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.744949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Ilya Ivashka70c82.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.812,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Ilya Ivashka54c82.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Dan Added47c70.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.212,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Dan Added23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.168430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dan Added21c68.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.282,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…82ebbacked Ilya Ivashka59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.88140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Dan Added30c66.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Ilya Ivashka58c62.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8758750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Ilya Ivashka79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf84c…d035backed Dan Added36c54.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Dan Added28c54.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Dan Added25c53.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed Dan Added54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279948.5%48 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Ilya Ivashka69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Ilya Ivashka78c46.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4935461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Ilya Ivashka57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2360452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Ilya Ivashka48c43.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4210829.6%32 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Ilya Ivashka70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Ilya Ivashka57c42.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2353736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Dan Added58c41.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2412061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Dan Added41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.243054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Ilya Ivashka78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4688935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4359…c338backed Dan Added54c36.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.815152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6695…1aabbacked Dan Added54c36.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.742373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Dan Added55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ilya Ivashka65c30.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Ilya Ivashka70c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Ilya Ivashka71c28.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2325259.9%151 W · 101 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ilya Ivashka72c28.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.861,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dan Added36c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Ilya Ivashka58c27.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4350268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Ilya Ivashka69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9597852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Ilya Ivashka52c25.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4651942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ilya Ivashka62c22.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Ilya Ivashka71c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.219361.3%57 W · 36 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Ilya Ivashka74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2418147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ilya Ivashka76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.554,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Ilya Ivashka73c14.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8426664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.