TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Nuria Brancaccio vs Julia Riera

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuria Brancaccioof Nuria Brancaccio, Julia Riera
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$512,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$547,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Nuria Brancaccio11c118,376$12,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,834.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Julia Riera27c52,105$13,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,972.458,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nuria Brancaccio1c45,821$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,139.758,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nuria Brancaccio70c41,681$28,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,700.861,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1b…2068backed Julia Riera68c20,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x400d…28afbacked Julia Riera48c19,861$9,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,531.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Nuria Brancaccio11c18,229$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,264.733417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuria Brancaccio31c10,508$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204.1311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nuria Brancaccio71c7,716$5,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Julia Riera42c6,266$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.764,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Julia Riera55c6,230$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.5220444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Nuria Brancaccio26c6,035$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,447.422,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Julia Riera63c4,787$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.7493740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuria Brancaccio42c3,093$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.724,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Nuria Brancaccio75c2,130$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.021,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Julia Riera36c1,929$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nuria Brancaccio44c1,843$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.084,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nuria Brancaccio41c1,687$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.244,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Nuria Brancaccio33c1,534$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.7421046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Julia Riera49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73574743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nuria Brancaccio52c1,500$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.939,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Julia Riera55c1,381$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.353,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuria Brancaccio9c1,247$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.676,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Julia Riera60c1,158$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.421,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Nuria Brancaccio3c1,089$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9210829.6%32 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Julia Riera57c1,057$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60062457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd7…a0cebacked Julia Riera64c1,036$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Julia Riera2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Julia Riera7c922.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.833,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Julia Riera79c871.87$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.2417348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuria Brancaccio43c834.93$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.912,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Julia Riera76c701.72$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7219041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Nuria Brancaccio44c681$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Julia Riera43c671.73$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8643950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cd…841dbacked Nuria Brancaccio51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24510122.8%23 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Julia Riera7c457.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.337524%18 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Julia Riera26c444$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.534,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Nuria Brancaccio72c418.61$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2876355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d1…ee11backed Nuria Brancaccio48c389.21$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4159…beedbacked Julia Riera49c325.16$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.336457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Julia Riera42c319.16$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7333855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nuria Brancaccio12c301.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.085,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Julia Riera11c283.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.931,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Nuria Brancaccio36c282.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0422346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Nuria Brancaccio32c280.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.581,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Julia Riera53c257.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.983,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Nuria Brancaccio39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4125950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Julia Riera40c255.07$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.755145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nuria Brancaccio71c234.26$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.525,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Nuria Brancaccio9c220$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.231841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Julia Riera34c219.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7814150.4%71 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Julia Riera72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuria Brancaccio55c187$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.372,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Julia Riera41c185.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5736154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Julia Riera56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nuria Brancaccio12c174.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.616,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Julia Riera29c173.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Julia Riera42c166.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6653657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Julia Riera42c161.12$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5129151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Nuria Brancaccio33c160.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.613,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Julia Riera42c160.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0847651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Nuria Brancaccio41c160.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.872,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Julia Riera42c159.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6531855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Julia Riera42c157.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7931856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Julia Riera43c153.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Julia Riera42c149.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7846957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Julia Riera42c147.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9230353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Julia Riera42c147.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9229554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f44…e1f9backed Julia Riera48c144.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Julia Riera42c141.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3446155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Julia Riera42c138.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0543054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Nuria Brancaccio33c130.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.32,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…da61backed Julia Riera57c129.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.743863.2%24 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Julia Riera45c126.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…4261backed Julia Riera49c118.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Nuria Brancaccio35c114.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.671,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Nuria Brancaccio44c113.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5331347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Nuria Brancaccio39c112.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.911,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Julia Riera58c110.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0163648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Julia Riera50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5564065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Julia Riera42c105.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3524851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3af…b7a6backed Julia Riera55c104.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Nuria Brancaccio48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Nuria Brancaccio60c103.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Julia Riera18c103.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5333228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nuria Brancaccio40c102.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2338931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Nuria Brancaccio59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6939469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Julia Riera74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7412441.1%51 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Nuria Brancaccio33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6765434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Nuria Brancaccio73c97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1992674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Julia Riera59c96.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Nuria Brancaccio48c94.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.341,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Julia Riera54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Julia Riera65c90.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5982560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27e…d4fbbacked Julia Riera67c89.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608254.9%45 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Julia Riera72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Julia Riera72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Julia Riera18c83.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993250%16 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Julia Riera45c81.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.31,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Nuria Brancaccio43c77.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.