TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniil Glinkaof Amit Vales, Daniil Glinka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a26…1851backed Daniil Glinka75c6,613$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.7860053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniil Glinka75c5,116$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.298,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Amit Vales43c4,683$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.639243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Amit Vales26c4,062$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.634,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Amit Vales27c3,942$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.432864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Daniil Glinka62c3,503$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.213,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Amit Vales28c2,941$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.8733442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Amit Vales19c2,902$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.741,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Amit Vales20c2,456$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.634,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Daniil Glinka76c2,313$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.271,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Amit Vales46c2,313$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.8213754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniil Glinka61c2,205$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.658,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Amit Vales25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Daniil Glinka75c1,914$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6215665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Amit Vales27c1,861$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4744552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Amit Vales12c1,600$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4582159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Amit Vales28c1,600$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44813050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Amit Vales26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9932637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniil Glinka72c1,448$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.914,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Daniil Glinka76c1,384$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.086058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Daniil Glinka76c1,368$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6418731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniil Glinka72c1,350$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.886,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Daniil Glinka76c1,321$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5462956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Amit Vales43c1,283$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5820444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Amit Vales24c1,214$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5425542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Amit Vales13c1,137$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Amit Vales25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014418.1%26 W · 118 L-0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Daniil Glinka77c704.6$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.084,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Amit Vales29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20338033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Daniil Glinka76c657.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9694068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Amit Vales23c635.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2569047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daniil Glinka79c624.89$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.094,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Amit Vales25c601.66$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6827139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Amit Vales26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Amit Vales17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Amit Vales38c500$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18853644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Amit Vales18c477.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8711338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Amit Vales27c418.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Amit Vales11c417.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.243,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Daniil Glinka75c393.79$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.791,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Daniil Glinka79c339.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.547956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Amit Vales24c315.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2739648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Daniil Glinka73c305$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.953756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Daniil Glinka70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9031237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Daniil Glinka74c288.13$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2360452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Daniil Glinka73c285.86$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Amit Vales9c275.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4545343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Daniil Glinka74c274.49$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.457544%33 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Amit Vales16c259.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2914715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Daniil Glinka75c259.49$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6728055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Amit Vales39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4945850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Daniil Glinka73c230.06$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.661,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Amit Vales22c230$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6930639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Amit Vales36c216.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.846243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Amit Vales35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Daniil Glinka60c202.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.011,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Daniil Glinka60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8036053.1%191 W · 169 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Daniil Glinka70c183.22$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.461,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Daniil Glinka72c177.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.565,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Amit Vales23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daniil Glinka75c153.23$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Amit Vales26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3986835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Amit Vales30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Daniil Glinka72c145.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.991,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Daniil Glinka77c140.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.266157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Daniil Glinka75c139.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.719540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Amit Vales17c138.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6132329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Daniil Glinka73c137.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.128177.8%63 W · 18 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Amit Vales37c135.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012860.2%77 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Daniil Glinka74c134$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8424052.5%126 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Amit Vales43c133.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniil Glinka61c115.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.46,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amit Vales21c101.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.937,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…9f16backed Amit Vales35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Amit Vales30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Daniil Glinka65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511662.9%73 W · 43 L+12.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Daniil Glinka59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416354%34 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Daniil Glinka65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3539844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Daniil Glinka73c97.47$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3725048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…bf43backed Daniil Glinka77c97.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555773.7%42 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Amit Vales24c95.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Amit Vales37c95.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Daniil Glinka77c94.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.827848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Amit Vales43c93.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2793557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Daniil Glinka71c91.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6942946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Amit Vales26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Daniil Glinka80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1813661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Amit Vales27c89.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.349658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Amit Vales25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Daniil Glinka77c87.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.151,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Daniil Glinka72c87.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.262,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Amit Vales36c82.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6330056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db9…95ebbacked Amit Vales28c79.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+93.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Amit Vales36c78.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4220336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Daniil Glinka78c78.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2429149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Amit Vales22c78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Daniil Glinka75c76.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Amit Vales28c72.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3827239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Amit Vales26c70.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4663537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Amit Vales43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.