TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c13,393$5,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,998.868,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c10,651$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,765.3675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c5,714$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.362,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked No75c4,803$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c4,283$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.0428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes25c3,280$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.0229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No48c2,475$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.8526835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,238$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.155,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No16c1,834$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6710618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes34c1,798$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.912338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c1,755$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.631,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb36…d19cbacked Yes59c1,605$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed No65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes78c1,508$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes76c1,365$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes44c1,349$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.994337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c1,168$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.091,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed No74c1,100$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes26c833.5$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7917251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c827.55$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.761,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes28c793.89$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes40c786.2$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No74c745$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.37143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.293542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No4c724.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.771,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c606.63$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.13,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes41c606$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No12c522.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.073016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes26c476.19$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.387843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16de…fcc3backed Yes62c400.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No18c379.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.845646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No49c345$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9116641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes78c264.02$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3312740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes37c224.54$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes26c224.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f8…b109backed No72c220$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Yes60c200.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No28c198.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked No47c190.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.832030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No49c162.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.753836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.946753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.614643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c139.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.82,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed No76c128$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No27c116.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2567548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes27c111.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.082142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7018631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…f431backed Yes46c99.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes44c99.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8533152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.421,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+84.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes70c92.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c91.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes26c76.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…e10cbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+87.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.072821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes25c67.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.639551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c62.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de4…22e9backed Yes64c62.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Yes32c58.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.822544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes37c48.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3615945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes47c47.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c44.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes47c42.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.687048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed No32c42.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510935.8%39 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes27c39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…1aabbacked Yes29c35.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…db88backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No75c30.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4816751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf79…653ebacked Yes67c29.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361f…544dbacked No68c29.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No38c28.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63a…baa4backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No74c27.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.218557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed No74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c26.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes60c22.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8910766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c17.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No74c17.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x230f…bb8cbacked No75c15.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5437…6e45backed No74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.