South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68070ba984b4c7683eeb89d4938d72bc4c034c6483321b4ebcae5162373a0dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 19c | 11,175$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.22 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,603$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 2,375$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,156$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,757$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.49 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 18c | 1,690$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 1,220$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 80c | 929.05$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 15c | 720.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 7c | 636.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 5c | 634.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 14c | 549.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 80c | 466.69$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 448$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…91e1backed Yes | 19c | 417.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 386.68$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 305.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 5c | 291.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 6c | 285.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 257.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 20c | 246.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 216.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 80c | 208$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 9c | 179.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 169$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 16c | 166.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Yes | 20c | 151.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 14c | 94.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Yes | 20c | 79.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 58.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 79c | 25.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 80c | 18.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…b132backed No | 80c | 13.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.