South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc022f00e7c99e9e4b04e7656c6a9acc969922f082f2a473dad3f869f2da19fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 46c | 39,365$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,364.54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 20,670$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.55 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 17,548$9,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,652.38 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 13,749$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,187.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 38c | 9,465$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.74 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 9,278$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.11 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 55c | 9,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.95 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 46c | 6,316$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.64 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 54c | 5,880$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.2 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 5,420$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 5,095$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 4,774$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.58 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 53c | 4,455$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.62 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 55c | 3,567$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 54c | 3,117$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.22 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 3,026$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.13 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 45c | 2,308$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 45c | 1,942$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.95 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 1,923$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 1,922$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 1,721$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 1,697$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.31 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 1,605$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 45c | 1,583$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.51 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 65c | 1,570$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.94 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 23c | 1,510$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 55c | 1,445$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed No | 46c | 1,174$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 80c | 1,064$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed No | 46c | 1,051$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.93 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 39c | 1,036$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.66 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 44c | 1,027$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.96 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 73c | 1,006$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 974.6$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.03 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Yes | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Yes | 55c | 909.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 908.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 41c | 848.74$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 843.06$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 49c | 784.3$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 54c | 775.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 55c | 714.28$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.09 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 709.57$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 55c | 685.63$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 56c | 663.33$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked No | 45c | 661.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 45c | 620$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 560.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 42c | 556.86$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 46c | 549$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 54c | 535$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 513.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 49c | 510.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 54c | 489.67$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 52c | 485.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 58c | 476.04$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 45c | 444.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 45c | 437.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.85 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 430$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 56c | 425$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed No | 46c | 418.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 54c | 401.51$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 31c | 374.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 55c | 362.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 55c | 360.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 52c | 356.77$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 353.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Yes | 54c | 344.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked No | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 65c | 300.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 56c | 294.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 47c | 293.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 56c | 288.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…4324backed Yes | 51c | 283.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 54c | 279.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 59c | 277$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed No | 45c | 271.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 256$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes | 18c | 253.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 54c | 241.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 47c | 239.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed No | 45c | 220.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed No | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 56c | 219.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?Yes won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.