Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0f58142dd9adda5626a985869d4b75070d15012382468daa6cd8d90641ccdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 67c | 3,569$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.44 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 2,936$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.87 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 2,320$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.77 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 1,920$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 1,012$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.09 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 66c | 857.96$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 66c | 854.75$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 41c | 760.11$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.27 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 628.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 3c | 538.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +512.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 33c | 522.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 441.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.6 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 66c | 384.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 379.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 301.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 33c | 284.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…9980backed Yes | 56c | 231.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 36c | 193.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 63c | 190.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 185.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…a8dfbacked Yes | 64c | 166.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 66c | 163.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 66c | 161.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 66c | 158.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…3a87backed Yes | 68c | 146.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 69c | 145.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 131$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed No | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 32c | 127.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Yes | 66c | 117.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 105.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 72c | 91.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 64c | 89.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Yes | 66c | 77.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 55c | 57.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 66c | 52.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 34c | 51.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Yes | 65c | 51.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 68c | 50.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 46c | 50.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 34c | 42.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 45c | 42.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed No | 36c | 38.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…c4d0backed No | 30c | 37.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 30c | 35.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 55c | 34.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 64c | 33.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…5676backed Yes | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 64c | 32.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 34c | 30.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 53c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 27.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 38c | 27.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…c1e1backed Yes | 66c | 24.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Yes | 65c | 24.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…85d2backed Yes | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.