Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcc6a914047cf176b6ac977d80ad3608c0c80e5a1ddf8f844a0f6ab8615f617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inter Miami CFof Inter Miami CF, Portland Timbers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Inter Miami CF | 54c | 12,183$6,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.02 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 10,726$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.73 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Inter Miami CF | 54c | 4,333$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.1 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Portland Timbers | 44c | 2,827$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Inter Miami CF | 56c | 2,138$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.31 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Inter Miami CF | 79c | 949.05$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Inter Miami CF | 56c | 833.65$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Portland Timbers | 19c | 808.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Portland Timbers | 45c | 644.44$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Portland Timbers | 46c | 448.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Timbers | 43c | 434.78$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Portland Timbers | 46c | 398$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 278.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Inter Miami CF | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Inter Miami CF | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…14a3backed Portland Timbers | 54c | 195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Inter Miami CF | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Inter Miami CF | 56c | 134.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Portland Timbers | 53c | 133.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Inter Miami CF | 46c | 133.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Portland Timbers | 45c | 119.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Portland Timbers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Inter Miami CF | 54c | 108.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Portland Timbers | 46c | 101.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Inter Miami CF | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Inter Miami CF | 49c | 98.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 85.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Inter Miami CF | 56c | 71.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Timbers | 53c | 69.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inter Miami CF | 61c | 58.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Inter Miami CF | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Portland Timbers | 45c | 54.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Inter Miami CF | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 44.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Inter Miami CF | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…cd95backed Inter Miami CF | 54c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Portland Timbers | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Portland Timbers | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Portland Timbers | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Portland Timbers | 46c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Inter Miami CF | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Inter Miami CF | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Inter Miami CF | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Inter Miami CF | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.