Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041159f7d8e8c7bc271c77a6f376996ffa99ee72da1cc43ab4b09bc0ae000f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 18c | 5,683$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,599$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.33 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 18c | 993.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.17 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 873.82$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 9c | 718.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.04 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 13c | 667.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Over | 54c | 595.65$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 35c | 575.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 61c | 346.44$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 28c | 333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 38c | 299.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 298.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 46c | 290.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 208.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 171.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 37c | 162.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 18c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 53c | 138.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 37c | 107.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over | 54c | 93.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 82.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 70c | 79.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 44c | 79.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 16c | 77.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Over | 66c | 75.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 50c | 71.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 73c | 68.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 76c | 65.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 64.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 79c | 62.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 79cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 63c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 56.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 21c | 51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 48.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 80c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf047…db3abacked Over | 75c | 23.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.